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Is the government's target of 300,000 homes realistic?

Fall In Starts And Completions Of New Homes Threaten Housebuilding Target

15.07.19

The government target of building 300,000 homes a year will remain a pipe dream based on current trends, says leading construction agency

New official figures show a decrease in the number of new build homes being started or completed in England over the latest quarter (to March 2019) and only a small rise over the last 12 months.

According to the Ministry of Housing, Communities and Local Government, the new build dwellings figures should be regarded as the leading indicator of overall housing supply, but the figures show that:

  • New build dwelling starts in England were estimated at 36,630 in the latest quarter, a 9 per cent decrease compared to the previous 3 months and a 9 per cent decrease on a year earlier;
  • Completions were estimated at 42,870, a 1 per cent decrease from the previous quarter.
  • Annual new build dwelling starts totalled 162,270 in the year to March 2019, a 1 per cent increase compared with the year to March 2018. During the same period, completions totalled 169,770 an increase of 6 per cent compared with last year.

Clive Docwra, Managing Director of leading construction consulting and design agency McBains, said:

“The government has set a target of building 300,000 homes a year by the mid 2020s, but today’s figures show that this will remain a pipe dream unless measures are implemented to help boost the number of new build starts and completions.

“These figures bear out that construction firms are suffering from uncertainties over Brexit – investors are wary of committing to new projects while the outcome remains unclear, while skills shortages, which are already acute, will bite further unless the industry is able to recruit skilled workers from overseas.

“The high cost of materials is also impacting on the amount companies can build, and access to finance is often difficult to come by.

“Even though the annual figures show an increase in starts and completions of new homes, these are nowhere near enough to meet the demand for housing. Independent estimates suggest that more than 300,000 new homes need to be build each year until 2031, so today’s figures prove that the housing crisis is still miles away from being solved.”

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